Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Wieczysta Kraków (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wieczysta Kraków.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Slask WroclawvsJagiellonia
- Mar 6, 2027Wisla KrakowvsKorona Kielce
- Mar 6, 2027Legia WarszawavsMotor Lublin
- Mar 6, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsCracovia Krakow
- Mar 6, 2027Wisla PlockvsPogon Szczecin
- Mar 6, 2027GKS KatowicevsPiast Gliwice
- Mar 6, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsLech Poznan
- Mar 6, 2027Radomiak RadomvsWidzew Łódź