Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie LubinWieczysta Kraków

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Wieczysta Kraków (1,931).

Zaglebie Lubin win48 %
Draw26 %
Wieczysta Kraków win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)4-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznan(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Maccabi Netanya(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15
Wieczysta Kraków2.01.7112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547
17Wieczysta Kraków41038103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Lubin and Wieczysta Kraków

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