Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik ZabrzeCracovia Krakow

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).

Gornik Zabrze win49 %
Draw27 %
Cracovia Krakow win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Monaco(home)2-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Wisla Krakow(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)3-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-1UEFA Europa League
Cracovia Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Pogon Szczecin(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-0Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cracovia Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Sep 27, 2025Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Feb 28, 2025Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Aug 24, 2024Cracovia Krakow 3-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
May 3, 2024Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Feb 11, 2024Cracovia Krakow 1-4 Gornik ZabrzeFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze1.61.3210/159/15
Cracovia Krakow1.31.168/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gornik Zabrze3300739
3Cracovia Krakow5221558

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cracovia Krakow.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow played?
Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gornik Zabrze and Cracovia Krakow

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