Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 3-2 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| May 3, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 5-0 Gornik Zabrze | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-4 Gornik Zabrze | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Gornik Zabrze vs Cracovia Krakow is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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