Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan played?

Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Lech Poznan

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 2,034).

Raków Częstochowa win32 %

Draw25 %

Lech Poznan win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FC Thun(home)	7-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026	KI Klaksvik(away)	5-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	3-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	KI Klaksvik(home)	1-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lech Poznan win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Lech Poznan 4-3 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Sep 24, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 2-2 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Feb 14, 2025	Lech Poznan 0-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Mar 3, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 4-0 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2023	Lech Poznan 4-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15
Lech Poznan	2.6	0.7	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan played?: Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.