Wolves vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wolves wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves vs Burnley?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wolves vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wolves
4-2-3-1- 10A. Armstrong
- 7André
- 36M. Mane
- 28Fer López
- 21Rodrigo Gomes
- 5M. Munetsi
- 34N. Djiga
- 3Hugo Bueno
- 2K. Trippier
- 37L. Krejčí
- 1José Sá
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wolves wins, 2 draws, 1 Burnley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wolves 2-3 Burnley | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Wolves 2-0 Burnley | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Wolves 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Wolves 3-0 Burnley | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves sit 9th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and Burnley sit 21st (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Wolves vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Wolves vs Burnley played?
- Wolves vs Burnley is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Molineux Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.