Burnley vs Wolves: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wolves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Wolves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 3Max Alleyne
- 29J. Laurent
- 8U. Raghouber
- 21A. Ramsey
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 14C. Roberts
- 44Igor
- 22O. Sonne
- 2K. Walker
- 1M. Weiß
Wolves
4-2-3-1- 10A. Armstrong
- 21Rodrigo Gomes
- 5M. Munetsi
- 7André
- 28Fer López
- 36M. Mane
- 34N. Djiga
- 3Hugo Bueno
- 24Toti Gomes
- 38J. Tchatchoua
- 1José Sá
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 0 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats; Wolves have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burnley win, 2 draws, 3 Wolves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wolves 2-3 Burnley | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Wolves 2-0 Burnley | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Wolves 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Wolves 3-0 Burnley | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 8/15 |
| Wolves | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 24th in Championship (4 points from 8 matches) and Wolves sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Burnley vs Wolves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Wolves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Wolves played?
- Burnley vs Wolves is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.