QPR vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Birmingham?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate QPR (1,954) and Birmingham (2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for QPR vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Birmingham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 QPR wins, 1 draw, 3 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Birmingham 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | QPR 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | QPR 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Birmingham 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Mar 18, 2023 | QPR 0-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Birmingham 2-0 QPR | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 8th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and Birmingham sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
A question about QPR vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for QPR.
- Where and when is QPR vs Birmingham played?
- QPR vs Birmingham is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.