Worcester City vs Kettering Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Kettering Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Kettering Town?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,796) and Kettering Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kettering Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kettering Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kettering Town 2-1 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Worcester City 1-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Kettering Town vs Worcester City on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Kettering Town sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Kettering Town?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Kettering Town.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Kettering Town played?
- Worcester City vs Kettering Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026StamfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 17, 2026Bury TownvsStourbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Halesowen TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 17, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBanbury United
- Oct 17, 2026LeistonvsStratford Town
- Oct 17, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAlvechurch
- Oct 17, 2026LeamingtonvsNeedham Market