Match

Leiston vs Stratford Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk

LeistonStratford Town

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leiston vs Stratford Town?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Leiston (1,786) and Stratford Town (1,760).

Leiston win46 %
Draw26 %
Stratford Town win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stratford Town have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Stratford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Bedford(away)1-6Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Bury Town(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Redditch United(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Worcester City(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 25, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stratford Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Leiston 1-1 Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 22, 2025Stratford Town 2-1 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Jan 4, 2025Leiston 1-0 Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 10, 2024Stratford Town 3-0 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 23, 2023Leiston 2-0 Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 26, 2023Stratford Town 3-4 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Stratford Town on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15
Stratford Town1.51.568/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stratford Town sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leiston3111544
16Stratford Town3021242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stratford Town?
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stratford Town.
Where and when is Leiston vs Stratford Town played?
Leiston vs Stratford Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leiston and Stratford Town

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