Leiston vs Stratford Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Stratford Town?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Leiston (1,786) and Stratford Town (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Stratford Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stratford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Leiston 1-1 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Stratford Town 2-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Stratford Town 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Leiston 2-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stratford Town 3-4 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Stratford Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stratford Town sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Stratford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Stratford Town.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Stratford Town played?
- Leiston vs Stratford Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026StamfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 17, 2026Bury TownvsStourbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Halesowen TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 17, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBanbury United
- Oct 17, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAlvechurch
- Oct 17, 2026LeamingtonvsNeedham Market
- Oct 17, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRedditch United