Bury Town vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Bury Town (1,844) and Stourbridge (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bury Town 1-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stourbridge 2-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Stourbridge on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Bury Town vs Stourbridge played?
- Bury Town vs Stourbridge is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026StamfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 17, 2026Halesowen TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 17, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBanbury United
- Oct 17, 2026LeistonvsStratford Town
- Oct 17, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAlvechurch
- Oct 17, 2026LeamingtonvsNeedham Market
- Oct 17, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRedditch United