Match

Stamford vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire

StamfordReal Bedford

The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Stamford. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stamford vs Real Bedford?

Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,692).

Stamford win15 %
Draw21 %
Real Bedford win64 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stamford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worcester City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Racing Club Warwick(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bury Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stourbridge(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Harborough Town(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Real Bedford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stratford Town(home)6-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Banbury United(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leamington(home)4-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hertford Town(home)11-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stamford win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Real Bedford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Real Bedford 3-0 StamfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 8, 2025Stamford 1-3 Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 4, 2025Real Bedford 3-1 StamfordFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Stamford on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stamford1.01.273/156/15
Real Bedford3.51.5212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Bedford3300939
22Stamford3003150

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Real Bedford?
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Stamford.
Where and when is Stamford vs Real Bedford played?
Stamford vs Real Bedford is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stamford and Real Bedford

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