Leamington vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Needham Market?
Needham Market starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Needham Market win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-1 Leamington | National League - North |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Needham Market 2-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Needham Market vs Leamington on Feb 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Needham Market played?
- Leamington vs Needham Market is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026StamfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 17, 2026Bury TownvsStourbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Halesowen TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 17, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBanbury United
- Oct 17, 2026LeistonvsStratford Town
- Oct 17, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAlvechurch
- Oct 17, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRedditch United