Leamington vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Needham Market wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Needham Market?
Needham Market starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leamington vs Needham Market
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leamington
Not enough data to predict the Leamington lineup.
Needham Market
Not enough data to predict the Needham Market lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-4 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leamington wins, 1 draw, 3 Needham Market wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-1 Leamington | National League - North |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Leamington 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Needham Market 2-1 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Needham Market vs Leamington on Feb 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Needham Market | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 10 matches) and Needham Market sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Leamington vs Needham Market?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Needham Market played?
- Leamington vs Needham Market is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026StamfordvsReal Bedford
- Oct 17, 2026Bury TownvsStourbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Halesowen TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 17, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBanbury United
- Oct 17, 2026LeistonvsStratford Town
- Oct 17, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAlvechurch
- Oct 17, 2026Anstey NomadsvsRedditch United