Worcester City vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Real Bedford?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Bedford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Real Bedford 0-0 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Worcester City 1-3 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Worcester City on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Real Bedford?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Real Bedford played?
- Worcester City vs Real Bedford is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 31, 2026Bury TownvsBanbury United
- Oct 31, 2026LeistonvsAlvechurch
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- Oct 31, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 31, 2026Stratford TownvsHitchin Town
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