Workington vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs AFC Emley?
On Elo ratings, Workington has 1,791 points and AFC Emley 1,706.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs AFC Emley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Workington win, 0 draws, 0 AFC Emley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley 1-3 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Workington on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 14 matches) and AFC Emley sit 19th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about Workington vs AFC Emley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Workington vs AFC Emley played?
- Workington vs AFC Emley is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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