Guiseley AFC vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Alfreton Town?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,815) and Alfreton Town (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alfreton Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guiseley AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Alfreton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Alfreton Town 2-1 Guiseley AFC | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Guiseley AFC 3-2 Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Guiseley AFC 2-4 Alfreton Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC on May 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 6 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guiseley AFC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Alfreton Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Alfreton Town played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Alfreton Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.