Bury vs Quorn: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Quorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Quorn?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Quorn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Quorn
Not enough data to predict the Quorn lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Quorn have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Workington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Quorn score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Quorn | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Quorn sit 16th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29 | 14 |
A question about Bury vs Quorn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Quorn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Quorn.
- Where and when is Bury vs Quorn played?
- Bury vs Quorn is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Guiseley AFCvsAlfreton Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsWarrington Town
- Jan 30, 2027Hyde UnitedvsLeek Town
- Jan 30, 2027WorkingtonvsAFC Emley
- Jan 30, 2027Ashton UnitedvsAvro
- Jan 30, 2027Bamber BridgevsStockton Town
- Jan 30, 2027Lancaster CityvsWhitby Town
- Jan 30, 2027United of ManchestervsCurzon Ashton