Lancaster City vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lancaster City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Whitby Town?
Lancaster City starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lancaster City vs Whitby Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Whitby Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lancaster City wins, 1 draw, 3 Whitby Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Lancaster City 0-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Lancaster City 1-2 Whitby Town | FA Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lancaster City 0-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Whitby Town 3-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Lancaster City on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 1.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Whitby Town | 1.3 | 3.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 17 matches) and Whitby Town sit 14th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 14 | Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 42 | 19 |
A question about Lancaster City vs Whitby Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs Whitby Town played?
- Lancaster City vs Whitby Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.