Ashton United vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Avro?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs Avro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Avro have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avro | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 12 matches) and Avro sit 4th (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Ashton United vs Avro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Avro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Avro played?
- Ashton United vs Avro is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027BuryvsQuorn
- Jan 30, 2027Guiseley AFCvsAlfreton Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsWarrington Town
- Jan 30, 2027Hyde UnitedvsLeek Town
- Jan 30, 2027WorkingtonvsAFC Emley
- Jan 30, 2027Bamber BridgevsStockton Town
- Jan 30, 2027Lancaster CityvsWhitby Town
- Jan 30, 2027United of ManchestervsCurzon Ashton