Workington vs United of Manchester: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs United of Manchester?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Workington (1,738) and United of Manchester (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; United of Manchester have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Workington win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 United of Manchester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester 1-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 13, 2026 | United of Manchester 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Workington 0-2 United of Manchester | FA Trophy |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Workington 0-0 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Workington 0-1 United of Manchester | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 16, 2024 | United of Manchester 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: United of Manchester vs Workington on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| United of Manchester | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and United of Manchester sit 22nd (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Workington | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs United of Manchester?
- The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for United of Manchester.
- Where and when is Workington vs United of Manchester played?
- Workington vs United of Manchester is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027BuryvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 20, 2027Guiseley AFCvsCurzon Ashton
- Mar 20, 2027Alfreton TownvsStockton Town
- Mar 20, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 20, 2027Ashton UnitedvsAFC Emley
- Mar 20, 2027Bamber BridgevsLeek Town
- Mar 20, 2027Warrington TownvsWhitby Town
- Mar 20, 2027AvrovsHyde United