Match

Workington vs United of Manchester: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria

WorkingtonUnited of Manchester

The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Workington vs United of Manchester?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Workington (1,738) and United of Manchester (1,779).

Workington win40 %
Draw26 %
United of Manchester win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; United of Manchester have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Workington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Rylands(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026United of Manchester(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Avro(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
United of Manchester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Workington(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Hyde United(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Workington win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 United of Manchester win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026United of Manchester 1-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Jan 13, 2026United of Manchester 2-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 7, 2025Workington 0-2 United of ManchesterFA Trophy
Sep 9, 2025Workington 0-0 United of ManchesterNon League Premier - Northern
Mar 1, 2025Workington 0-1 United of ManchesterNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 16, 2024United of Manchester 2-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: United of Manchester vs Workington on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Workington1.31.537/158/15
United of Manchester1.01.928/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Workington sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and United of Manchester sit 22nd (2 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Workington62138127
22United of Manchester60243112

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Workington vs United of Manchester?
The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for United of Manchester.
Where and when is Workington vs United of Manchester played?
Workington vs United of Manchester is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Workington and United of Manchester

Ready to know everything about football?