Ashton United vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashton United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,817) and AFC Emley (1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs AFC Emley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ashton United wins, 1 draw, 0 AFC Emley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Ashton United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and AFC Emley sit 18th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 14 |
A question about Ashton United vs AFC Emley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs AFC Emley played?
- Ashton United vs AFC Emley is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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