Ashton United vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,753) and AFC Emley (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ashton United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 AFC Emley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley 1-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Ashton United on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 6 matches) and AFC Emley sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs AFC Emley played?
- Ashton United vs AFC Emley is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027BuryvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 20, 2027Guiseley AFCvsCurzon Ashton
- Mar 20, 2027Alfreton TownvsStockton Town
- Mar 20, 2027WorkingtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 20, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 20, 2027Bamber BridgevsLeek Town
- Mar 20, 2027Warrington TownvsWhitby Town
- Mar 20, 2027AvrovsHyde United