Guiseley AFC vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Curzon Ashton (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Guiseley AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Curzon Ashton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton 1-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Guiseley AFC 2-2 Curzon Ashton | National League - North |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Curzon Ashton 1-1 Guiseley AFC | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Curzon Ashton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Guiseley AFC on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 6 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guiseley AFC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Curzon Ashton is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027BuryvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 20, 2027Alfreton TownvsStockton Town
- Mar 20, 2027WorkingtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 20, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 20, 2027Ashton UnitedvsAFC Emley
- Mar 20, 2027Bamber BridgevsLeek Town
- Mar 20, 2027Warrington TownvsWhitby Town
- Mar 20, 2027AvrovsHyde United