Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bury wins, 0 draws, 0 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury 4-3 Gainsborough Trinity | FA Trophy |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Bury | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 11th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 11 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 11 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
A question about Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Guiseley AFCvsCurzon Ashton
- Mar 20, 2027Alfreton TownvsStockton Town
- Mar 20, 2027WorkingtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 20, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 20, 2027Ashton UnitedvsAFC Emley
- Mar 20, 2027Bamber BridgevsLeek Town
- Mar 20, 2027Warrington TownvsWhitby Town
- Mar 20, 2027AvrovsHyde United