Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town?
Leek Town starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bamber Bridge win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Leek Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town 4-1 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Leek Town 3-2 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Bamber Bridge 3-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Leek Town 1-0 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Bamber Bridge 3-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town played?
- Bamber Bridge vs Leek Town is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027BuryvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 20, 2027Guiseley AFCvsCurzon Ashton
- Mar 20, 2027Alfreton TownvsStockton Town
- Mar 20, 2027WorkingtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Mar 20, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 20, 2027Ashton UnitedvsAFC Emley
- Mar 20, 2027Warrington TownvsWhitby Town
- Mar 20, 2027AvrovsHyde United