Whitby Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ashton United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,865 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Ashton United?
Ashton United starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Whitby Town vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Whitby Town
Not enough data to predict the Whitby Town lineup.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Ashton United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Whitby Town win, 0 draws, 5 Ashton United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Whitby Town 2-5 Ashton United | FA Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United 2-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ashton United 1-4 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Ashton United 5-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Ashton United on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 1.4 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (19 points from 16 matches) and Ashton United sit 18th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 42 | 19 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 14 |
A question about Whitby Town vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ashton United the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Ashton United played?
- Whitby Town vs Ashton United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.