Whitby Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Whitby Town (1,654) and Ashton United (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Whitby Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ashton United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United 2-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ashton United 1-4 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Ashton United 5-0 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ashton United 4-1 Whitby Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Whitby Town on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Ashton United sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashton United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Whitby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Ashton United played?
- Whitby Town vs Ashton United is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.