Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)EWR-Arena, Worms
The Footlab model makes Wormatia Worms the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler?
Wormatia Worms starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wormatia Worms have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Auersmacher(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Elversberg II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirmasens(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wormatia Worms score 2.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wormatia Worms | 2.7 | 2.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wormatia Worms sit 7th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (6 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wormatia Worms | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Wormatia Worms the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler played?
- Wormatia Worms vs Ahrweiler is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at EWR-Arena, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsPirmasens
- Sep 26, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsElversberg II
- Sep 26, 2026Schott MainzvsRW Wittlich
- Sep 26, 2026DiefflenvsTuS Koblenz
- Sep 26, 2026MechtersheimvsHertha Wiesbach
- Sep 26, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsGonsenheim
- Sep 26, 2026FV Engers 07vsAuersmacher
- Sep 26, 2026EisbachtalvsGau-Odernheim