Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Wehen

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Wehen?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,913) and SV Wehen (1,863).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win50 %
Draw23 %
SV Wehen win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
SV Wehen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-43. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Preußen Münster(home)1-33. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bayern München(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SV Wehen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2024SV Wehen 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Nov 3, 2023Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-3 SV Wehen2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Apr 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15
SV Wehen1.12.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140
20SV Wehen2002170

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Wehen?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SV Wehen.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Wehen played?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Wehen is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Wehen

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