Xankəndi FK vs Səbail: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Xankəndi FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Səbail. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Xankəndi FK (1,568) and Səbail (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Xankəndi FK have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Səbail have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hypers Guba(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 15, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 6, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Difai Ağsu(away) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Xankəndi FK score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Səbail score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xankəndi FK | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Səbail | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Səbail | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 21 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xankəndi FK vs Səbail?
- The Footlab model makes Xankəndi FK the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Səbail.
- Where and when is Xankəndi FK vs Səbail played?
- Xankəndi FK vs Səbail is played on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.