Tamaraceite vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamaraceite vs Marbella?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Tamaraceite (1,862) and Marbella (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamaraceite have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 2-6 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tamaraceite win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Marbella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | Marbella 1-3 Tamaraceite | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Tamaraceite 3-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Tamaraceite on Jan 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Marbella | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamaraceite vs Marbella?
- The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Tamaraceite vs Marbella played?
- Tamaraceite vs Marbella is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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