Where and when is Badajoz vs Don Benito played?

Badajoz vs Don Benito is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Badajoz vs Don Benito: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

Badajoz

Don Benito

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Don Benito?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Badajoz (1,992) and Don Benito (1,911).

Badajoz win52 %

Draw28 %

Don Benito win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Badajoz win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Don Benito win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Don Benito 1-1 Badajoz	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Sep 21, 2025	Badajoz 0-1 Don Benito	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Aug 3, 2024	Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 6, 2022	Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 24, 2021	Don Benito 1-3 Badajoz	Primera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 25, 2020	Badajoz 2-0 Don Benito	Primera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Don Benito vs Badajoz on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Don Benito	34	6	8	20	30	51	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Don Benito?: The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Don Benito.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Don Benito played?: Badajoz vs Don Benito is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.