Badajoz vs Don Benito: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Don Benito?
On Elo ratings, Badajoz has 1,994 points and Don Benito 1,919.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Don Benito
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Don Benito
Not enough data to predict the Don Benito lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Badajoz wins, 3 draws, 1 Don Benito win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Don Benito 1-1 Badajoz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Badajoz 0-1 Don Benito | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Badajoz 0-0 Don Benito | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Don Benito 1-3 Badajoz | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Badajoz 2-0 Don Benito | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Don Benito | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Don Benito sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Don Benito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Badajoz vs Don Benito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Don Benito?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Don Benito.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Don Benito played?
- Badajoz vs Don Benito is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 15, 2026Atlético PasovsAtlético Central
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