Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Constitución, Yecla
The Footlab AI model makes Yeclano the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Yeclano (1,879) and Lorca Deportiva (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yeclano
Not enough data to predict the Yeclano lineup.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeclano have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yeclano win, 3 draws, 2 Lorca Deportiva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Yeclano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Yeclano 0-0 Lorca Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva 2-1 Yeclano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Yeclano 3-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Yeclano 1-2 Lorca Deportiva | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Lorca Deportiva 1-1 Yeclano | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Lorca Deportiva vs Yeclano on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeclano score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeclano | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yeclano sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Yeclano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yeclano the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Yeclano vs Lorca Deportiva is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Constitución, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.