Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza
The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cieza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva?
On Elo ratings, Cieza has 1,978 points and Lorca Deportiva 1,885.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cieza
4-3-3- 24D. Hidalgo
- 23T. Taulemesse
- 9E. Lopez Moreno
- 20Sergio Camacho
- 10D. Pujante
- 7S. Martinez
- 14D. Guerrero
- 3R. Ortiz
- 15A. Aguirre
- 5Li Zeyu
- 1A. Sanchez
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cieza have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Lorca Deportiva have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cieza wins, 2 draws, 0 Lorca Deportiva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Cieza 3-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Lorca Deportiva 0-0 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Cieza 2-1 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lorca Deportiva 1-2 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Lorca Deportiva 1-1 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Cieza 3-2 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cieza score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lorca Deportiva score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Lorca Deportiva | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cieza sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 6 matches) and Lorca Deportiva sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cieza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Lorca Deportiva.
- Where and when is Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva played?
- Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Arboleja, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.