Elche II vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Elche II (1,867) and La Nucía (1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche II vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; La Nucía have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and La Nucía sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Nucía | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Elche II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Elche II vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Elche II vs La Nucía played?
- Elche II vs La Nucía is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.