Poblense vs Orihuela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs Orihuela?
Poblense starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poblense vs Orihuela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Orihuela
5-4-1- 23Javi Solsona
- 17Gonzalo Miranda
- 11Joan Monterde
- 6F. Rivera
- 8José Lara
- 20S. Marc
- 21L. Booker
- 15Carlos Sánchez
- 24R. Garcia
- 3N. Vila
- 1I. Buigues
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Orihuela have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-4 | Copa Federacion |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Orihuela sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Orihuela | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Poblense vs Orihuela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs Orihuela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Poblense vs Orihuela played?
- Poblense vs Orihuela is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.