Cieza vs Real Murcia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza
The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Real Murcia II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cieza vs Real Murcia II?
Cieza starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cieza vs Real Murcia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cieza
4-3-3- 7N. Caldero
- 9D. Rodriguez
- 20M. Casadevall
- 22Pitu
- 6Aitor Hidalgo
- 18Y. Tassembedo
- 4Edu Luna
- 23Antón Quindimil
- 5E. Nwenyi
- 3R. Ortiz
- 13Angel De La Calzada Ramos
Real Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the Real Murcia II lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cieza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Murcia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cieza wins, 3 draws, 1 Real Murcia II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Real Murcia II 0-0 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Cieza 2-0 Real Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Real Murcia II 0-2 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Cieza 0-1 Real Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Real Murcia II 1-1 Cieza | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Cieza 1-1 Real Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Real Murcia II vs Cieza on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cieza score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia II score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Murcia II | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cieza sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (17 points from 10 matches) and Real Murcia II sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cieza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 16 | Real Murcia II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Cieza vs Real Murcia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cieza vs Real Murcia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cieza the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Real Murcia II.
- Where and when is Cieza vs Real Murcia II played?
- Cieza vs Real Murcia II is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Arboleja, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.