Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shakhter Karagandy the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Yelimay Semey 2. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy?
Shakhter Karagandy is a heavy favourite: 1,534 Elo points against 1,207, a 327-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yelimay Semey 2 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Shakhter Karagandy have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(home) | 2-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ekibastuz(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Taraz(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tobol 2(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arys(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yelimay Semey 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shakhter Karagandy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 Yelimay Semey 2 | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Shakhter Karagandy vs Yelimay Semey 2 on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yelimay Semey 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhter Karagandy score 2.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey 2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Shakhter Karagandy | 2.8 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yelimay Semey 2 sit 13th in 1. Division (12 points from 19 matches) and Shakhter Karagandy sit 1st (52 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 7 | 52 |
| 13 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 37 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy?
- The Footlab model makes Shakhter Karagandy the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Yelimay Semey 2.
- Where and when is Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy played?
- Yelimay Semey 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy is played on August 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.