Khan Tengri vs Astana II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Khan Tengri the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Astana II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khan Tengri vs Astana II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Khan Tengri (1,210) and Astana II (1,198).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khan Tengri have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Astana II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tobol 2(away) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arys(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arys(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Khan Tengri win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Astana II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Astana II 2-1 Khan Tengri | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Astana II 1-2 Khan Tengri | 1. Division |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Khan Tengri 4-0 Astana II | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Astana II vs Khan Tengri on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khan Tengri score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Astana II score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khan Tengri | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Astana II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khan Tengri sit 10th in 1. Division (21 points from 19 matches) and Astana II sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Astana II | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 26 |
| 10 | Khan Tengri | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 35 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khan Tengri vs Astana II?
- The Footlab model makes Khan Tengri the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Astana II.
- Where and when is Khan Tengri vs Astana II played?
- Khan Tengri vs Astana II is played on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.