Ekibastuz vs Turan Turkistan: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Shakhter, Ėkibastyz
The Footlab model makes Turan Turkistan the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ekibastuz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ekibastuz vs Turan Turkistan?
Turan Turkistan starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,389 vs 1,282).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ekibastuz have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Turan Turkistan have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jaiyq(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Taraz(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Khan Tengri(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ekibastuz win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Turan Turkistan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Turan Turkistan 4-0 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Turan Turkistan 6-1 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2023 | Ekibastuz 1-1 Turan Turkistan | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Turan Turkistan vs Ekibastuz on May 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ekibastuz score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Turan Turkistan score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekibastuz | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Turan Turkistan | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ekibastuz sit 7th in 1. Division (26 points from 19 matches) and Turan Turkistan sit 3rd (38 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 38 |
| 7 | Ekibastuz | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ekibastuz vs Turan Turkistan?
- The Footlab model makes Turan Turkistan the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ekibastuz.
- Where and when is Ekibastuz vs Turan Turkistan played?
- Ekibastuz vs Turan Turkistan is played on August 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Shakhter, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.