Sport Academy Kairat vs Arys: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadïon Akademïï T.S.Segïzbaeva, Almaty
The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Arys. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Academy Kairat vs Arys?
Sport Academy Kairat is a heavy favourite: 1,654 Elo points against 1,160, a 494-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Academy Kairat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Arys have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jaiyq(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Taraz(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khan Tengri(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Astana II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Sport Academy Kairat win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Arys 0-3 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Arys 1-2 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Sport Academy Kairat 2-1 Arys | 1. Division |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Sport Academy Kairat 5-1 Arys | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2023 | Arys 1-0 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Arys vs Sport Academy Kairat on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Academy Kairat score 3.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arys score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Academy Kairat | 3.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Arys | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Academy Kairat sit 2nd in 1. Division (46 points from 19 matches) and Arys sit 12th (15 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 60 | 10 | 46 |
| 12 | Arys | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 39 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Academy Kairat vs Arys?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Arys.
- Where and when is Sport Academy Kairat vs Arys played?
- Sport Academy Kairat vs Arys is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadïon Akademïï T.S.Segïzbaeva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.