Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Yeni Malatyaspor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,610 vs 1,334).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win71 %

Draw19 %

Yeni Malatyaspor win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Play-offs

Yeni Malatyaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Nov 2, 2025	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Oct 25, 2025	1461 Trabzon FK(home)	0-4	2. Lig
Oct 19, 2025	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Oct 11, 2025	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	1-8	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Yeni Malatyaspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 3, 2025	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 5-0 Yeni Malatyaspor	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor on Sep 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	2.1	1.1	4	10/15	8/15
Yeni Malatyaspor	0.6	4.5	1	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?: The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.