Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin
The Footlab model makes Yozgat Bld Bozokspor the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor?
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Yozgat Bld Bozokspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sebat Gençlikspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yozgat Bld Bozokspor score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 27 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor?
- The Footlab model makes Yozgat Bld Bozokspor the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
- Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor played?
- Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 11, 2026Karaköprü BelediyesporvsBitlis Özgüzelderespor
- Oct 11, 2026Talasgücü BelediyesporvsAdanaspor
- Oct 11, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsKaraman FK
- Oct 11, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsSilifke Belediyespor