Where and when is Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor played?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Osmaniyespor

The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Osmaniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,521) and Osmaniyespor (1,525).

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win45 %

Draw27 %

Osmaniyespor win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Osmaniyespor have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	0-6	2. Lig
Jan 24, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Jan 17, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Dec 22, 2025	Kırklarelispor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Dec 17, 2025	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	3-5	2. Lig

Osmaniyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	12 Bingölspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026	Kapadokyaspor(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Osmaniyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2021	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0-1 Osmaniyespor	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 20, 2020	Osmaniyespor 0-3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor on Jan 28, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	1.4	3.0	3	6/15	12/15
Osmaniyespor	1.3	1.7	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor?: The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Osmaniyespor.
Where and when is Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor played?: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Osmaniyespor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.