Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Adanaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, Kayseri
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Adanaspor?
Talasgücü Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Adanaspor have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 3-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Adanaspor | 0.1 | 5.3 | 0 | 2/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Adanaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Adanaspor.
- Where and when is Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Adanaspor played?
- Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Adanaspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 11, 2026Yeşilyurt BelediyesporvsYeni Malatyaspor
- Oct 11, 2026Yeni Mersin IdmanyurduvsOsmaniyespor
- Oct 11, 2026DiyarbekirsporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Oct 11, 2026Karaköprü BelediyesporvsBitlis Özgüzelderespor
- Oct 11, 2026Mazıdağı FosfatsporvsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
- Oct 11, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsKaraman FK
- Oct 11, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsSilifke Belediyespor