Match

Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, Şanlıurfa

Karaköprü BelediyesporBitlis Özgüzelderespor

The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,548) and Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547).

Karaköprü Belediyespor win46 %
Draw27 %
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karaköprü Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-63. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Ağrı 1970(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 20241954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024Hakkari Zapspor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)0-3Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor 2-1 Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporTürkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor on Sep 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karaköprü Belediyespor1.31.949/158/15
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1.31.525/85/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor.
Where and when is Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?
Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Karaköprü Belediyespor and Bitlis Özgüzelderespor

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