Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)St. Patrick Football Complex, Ħaż-Żabbar
The Footlab model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Gzira United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Zabbar St. Patrick (1,440) and Gzira United (1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabbar St. Patrick have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gzira United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zabbar St. Patrick win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gzira United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gzira United 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Gzira United 0-2 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Gzira United 2-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gzira United score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gzira United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabbar St. Patrick sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Gzira United sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?
- The Footlab model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Gzira United.
- Where and when is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United played?
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at St. Patrick Football Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.