Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Mosta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Sliema Wanderers (1,526) and Mosta (1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sliema Wanderers have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Mosta have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Naxxar Lions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sliema Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mosta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta 2-2 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Mosta 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Mosta | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Mosta 1-4 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mosta 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Sliema Wanderers 3-1 Mosta | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mosta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Mosta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sliema Wanderers sit 10th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Mosta sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?
- The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Mosta.
- Where and when is Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta played?
- Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.