Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Swit?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,699) and Swit (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Swit 3-3 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 5-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Swit vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Swit.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Swit played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Swit is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 31, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 31, 2026Mławianka MławavsWidzew II
- Oct 31, 2026ŁomżavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Oct 31, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 31, 2026WeszlovsWarta Sieradz