Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,756) and Wigry Suwałki (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 3-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 25, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Wigry Suwałki is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 31, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 31, 2026Mławianka MławavsWidzew II
- Oct 31, 2026ŁomżavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Oct 31, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 31, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsSwit
- Oct 31, 2026WeszlovsWarta Sieradz