Weszlo vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Sieradz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weszlo vs Warta Sieradz?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Weszlo (1,796) and Warta Sieradz (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Sieradz.
- Where and when is Weszlo vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Weszlo vs Warta Sieradz is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 31, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 31, 2026Mławianka MławavsWidzew II
- Oct 31, 2026ŁomżavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Oct 31, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 31, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsSwit