Mławianka Mława vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Widzew II?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Mławianka Mława (1,714) and Widzew II (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mławianka Mława win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Widzew II 0-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 1-2 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Widzew II vs Mławianka Mława on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Widzew II played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Widzew II is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 31, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 31, 2026ŁomżavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Oct 31, 2026TroszynvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 31, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsSwit
- Oct 31, 2026WeszlovsWarta Sieradz