Match

Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock

Wisła Płock IIZąbkovia Ząbki

The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,699).

Wisła Płock II win50 %
Draw22 %
Ząbkovia Ząbki win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisła Płock II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)3-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Łomża(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Ząbkovia Ząbki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Widzew II(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)0-5III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wisła Płock II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki 0-1 Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 20, 2025Wisła Płock II 2-2 Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisła Płock II1.71.5112/159/15
Ząbkovia Ząbki1.41.937/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Wisła Płock II5221988
13Ząbkovia Ząbki5212897

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisła Płock II and Ząbkovia Ząbki

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