Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wisła Płock II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 0-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 2-2 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Wisła Płock II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Wisła Płock II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWeszlo
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsJagiellonia II
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 24, 2026SwitvsTroszyn
- Oct 24, 2026Warta SieradzvsPelikan Łowicz
- Oct 24, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 24, 2026Widzew IIvsŁomża
- Oct 24, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsLechia T. Mazowiecki