Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stal Brzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 0-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 28, 2022 | Stal Brzeg 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Stal Brzeg.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsGórnik Polkowice
- Apr 10, 2027ROW RybnikvsStilon Gorzów
- Apr 10, 2027KluczborkvsSparta Katowice
- Apr 10, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Apr 10, 2027Warta GorzówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Apr 10, 2027Carina GubinvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Apr 10, 2027Barycz SułówvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Apr 10, 2027SłowianinvsSKRA Częstochowa